Last week was a terrible week for MikesPickz. I experienced my worst game picking week in the 4 year history of picking games with the spread, but the positive news is that I am still on pace to have the best season of my 4 year history.

Now to the NFL action from week 15. There were several notable stories including the Cowboys handing the Saints their first loss of the season, leaving the Colts as the only remaining unbeaten team. Josh Cribbs set the NFL record for most career kick returned for a touchdown (he had 2 against the Chiefs giving him 8 on his amazing and young career) and in the same game his teammate, Jerome Harrison, rushed for 285 yards, the 3rd most in NFL history.

On of the biggest stories of the day was the Steelers – Packers instant classic. The Steelers took the lead late in the 4th quarter and decided to onside kick, they touched it early and that gave the Packers a chance to take the lead back. The Packers scored quickly and it turns out they scored 1 second too quick. The Packers got a 2 point conversion and then kicked it off to the Steelers. The Steelers marched down the field and with zero seconds left on the clock Big Ben threw for his 503rd yard. It was a perfect pass and a perfect catch by Mike Wallace. In fact if you missed it, you must check it out below:

Now it’s time for the rankings:

1. Colts- The only unbeaten team in the NFL is clearly the #1 team in the league.
2. Saints- The loss to the Cowboys was big because it was in New Orleans. I think New Orleans takes that game as a wake up call, because they had been close to losing the past few weeks. I expect the Saints to play hard the remainder of the season.
   

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   Tier 2

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3. Eagles- The Eagles are a very talented team and every team should be on the watch for them. My one concern with the Eagles is that they live on the big play. DeSean Jackson is an amazing player, but he might have an off game and that would really hurt the Eagles offense.
4. Chargers- The Chargers have the best receiving core in the NFL and I think at this time, they could beat any team in the NFL (including the Colts). I can not wait to watch the Chargers play the Colts for a chance at the Superbowl.
   

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   Tier 3

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5. Packers- I don’t take the loss to the Steelers as a set back for the Packers. The Packers will make the playoffs and they did not play poorly in the Steelers’ game. The offensive line is still not great, but it is much improved from the beginning of the season and that is making a huge difference. It doesn’t hurt that they have the league’s beat turnover differential at +18.
6. Vikings- I am starting to worry about the Vikings. Another blow-out loss, this time to a team they should have blown out. Favre is in the news with drama and that is not a good thing for the team. Even more alarming is the fact that Adrian Peterson has been MIA on the field for the past 3 weeks.
7. Patriots- Everyone was talking about how the Patriots are finished and all the Moss drama, but to me that will comeback to bite people. You can not rule out a team with Brady, Moss and Welker that is coached by Belichick.
8. Ravens- The Ravens have been playing some of the league’s best football over the past two weeks, albeit against bad teams. This week against the Steelers will be a real test because of the intense rivalry.
9. Cowboys- OK, before Cowboy fans start hating on the #9 ranking, take the time to look at weeks 10-15 and tell me how impressive it was. The win in New Orleans was huge, but the real test is how they follow it up in Washington. I am glad that they replaced Folk, but Suisham is not much better.
   

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   Tier 4

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10. Giants- The Giants have played well enough to be in the hunt for the playoffs. The blowout they handed the Redskins was huge, but I am not convinced they have what it takes to get to the Superbowl.
11. Bengals- The Bengals have had two tough losses in Minnesota and in San Diego, but the losses give me some doubt about their chances in the playoffs. The past two losses are against playoff bound teams, and they needed to be able to win at least one of those games.
12. Titans- The Titans have done it- they went from 0-6 to 7-7 and now have a legit chance at making the playoffs, and honestly I don’t think they can pull it off. They are one game behind the Broncos and they have to play the Chargers on Christmas. I don’t think that they can beat the Chargers, but the good news is that I don’t think the Broncos can beat the Eagles this week either.
13. Broncos- The Broncos have a chance at choking a sure thing playoff bid for the second year in a row. I am worried if I am a Denver Broncos fan.
14. Cards- The Cards are lucky that they played in the NFC West, otherwise they would not be making the playoffs this season. They got embarrassed by the 49ers and then almost blew the game to the Lions last week.
15. Dolphins- A poor conference record has the playoffs looking like a distant memory.
16. Jets- Out of all the 7-7 AFC teams, the Jets are in the most interesting scenario. They have the toughest remaining schedule (Colts and Bengals), but I think they have a shot at winning out. The Colts and Bengals won’t have anything to play for when they versus the Jets and that could lead to some benchings which would give the Jets a chance, BUT that is a lot to bank your season on.
17. 49ers- The 49ers should be able to win the last 2 games and finish at .500, which is a perfect building block for next season. Watch out for the 49ers in 2010.
18. Falcons- The Falcons didn’t beat the Jets last week, the Jets beat themselves.
    

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    Tier 5

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19. Texans- The Texans are the least likely team on the AFC bubble to make the playoffs because of their below .500 conference record. The Texans have been far too inconsistent this season (they should have blown the Rams out last week).
20. Panthers- The Panthers’ win over the Vikings kept the NFC interesting- now the Eagles have a shot to get a first round BYE.
21. Jaguars- The loss to the Colts in week 15 left the Jaguars’ playoff fate out of their control, not the situation they were hoping for. I don’t like the Jaguars chances to make the playoffs this season. It is scary that they are 7-7 with a -56 point differential.
22. Steelers- The Steelers are still this low in the rankings because an unconvincing win against the Packers does not erase a 5 game losing streak (in which they lost to some pretty bad teams). It was unconvincing because they won on the last play of the game, they could easily be on a 6 game losing streak right now. But, a win against the Ravens this week will cause their stock to rise quite a bit.
23. Bills- The Bills don’t have much to look forward to this season. They can beat the Falcons this week and maybe they can beat the Colts in week 17 (if the Colts bench EVERYONE).
    

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    Tier 6

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24. Raiders- The Raiders continue to play spoiler this season. They now have victories against the Eagles, Bengals, Steelers and Broncos.
25. Seahawks- I think last week assured me that the Seahawks have given up on this season.
26. Bears- Jay Cutler has been exactly what they thought they were getting rid of with Orton. This shows that maybe the issue is deeper than the QB position?
    

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    Tier 7

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27. Chiefs- The Chiefs at home in December used to be extremely tough to beat, not anymore.
28. Browns- The Browns have a 2 game winning streak right now. Wow, I didn’t think I’d say that this season.
29. Redskins- The Redskins forgot that they had a game on Monday Night, and they certainly got embarrassed for that.
    
30. Bucs- Nice win against the Seahawks, but the win cemented the Rams getting the #1 overall pick in the upcoming draft.
    

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    Tier 8

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31. Lions- The Lions played the Cards tough last week, but without Stafford this week, the 49ers might shut them out. The Lions played much better than they did last season and they should hopeful looking into the future.
32. Rams- I don’t see a win in their last two games (Cards and 49ers). They will get the #1 pick in the draft and they will look to rebuild in the future, but I don’t see them being competitive next year either (they are missing too many pieces).

That is going to do it for this week’s rankings. Feel free to comment below, or send me a tweet (@MikesPickz).

And I hope all my readers have a Happy Holidays!

The Steelers’ hopes at winning the division were shot to death when the Chiefs beat them in overtime last week, that was assuming the Bengals would be able to beat the lowly Raiders. If there is one thing I learned last week, you can never assume in the NFL. The Bengals lost to the Raiders and that gave the Steelers some hope. The bad news is that Polamalu is injured and Roethlisberger suffered an injury during the OT. Roethlisberger has still not been ruled out for Sunday, but he will not be 100% either way.

I can not wait for Monday Night Football this week. The undefeated Saints will host the New England Patriots, in what should be a high scoring and explosive game. It has the possibility to be the best game of the entire season.

Now on to the rankings:

This week the rankings will be short because of the holiday, but do not worry, back to normal next week.

*Tiers are teams that are within 20 points of each other using my formula*

Tier 1

1. –Colts- Another close one.
2. –Saints- Still undefeated, with toughest test against the Patriots this week.
   Tier 2
   

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3. –Vikings- Favre = MVP
4. Patriots- The Patriots were motivated against the Jets.
5. Chargers- The Chargers are a great football team.
   Tier 3
   

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6. –Cards- Hopefully Warner won’t miss much time (if any), they need him.
7. Bengals- Loss to the Raiders was a set-back, but they are still solid.
8. Cowboys- The Cowboys’ offense has gone on vacation.
9. Eagles- McCoy is a solid replacement for Westbrook and Jackson is fast!
10. Packers- They only allowed 2 sacks last week, but the 49ers are at the bottom in total sacks.
11. Steelers- It’s crazy how different they are without Polamalu.
12. Ravens- They gave the Colts a run for their money.
13. Jaguars- Never pretty, but a win is a win. They are looking at the wild card right now.
    Tier 4
    

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14. Texans- They still have hope for a winning season.
15. Dolphins- Ricky Williams has still got it and he is looking as good as ever.
16. Titans- Vince Young knows how to win.
17. Giants- The Giants were lucky to hold on against the Falcons.
18. Broncos- 0-4 since starting 6-0. Orton has to step up as a leader for this team.
19. Falcons- Matt Ryan continues his sophomore slump.
    Tier 5
    

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20. Chiefs- 3-2 in their last 5 and on a 2 game winning streak.
21. –49ers- They need to play the first half as hard as they play the second half.
22. –Jets- Mark Sanchez is a rookie, in case you forgot.
23. Panthers- They missed their playoff opportunity against the Dolphins last week.
24. –Bears- Cutler needs to protect the ball better.
25. –Bills- There was a T.O. sighting last week, too bad they lost.
    Tier 6
    

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26. Seahawks- Maybe next season.
27. Raiders- Another surprising upset. The Bengals can ask the Eagles about big upsets.
28. –Redskins- Their defense will continue to keep them in games, but they will need offense to win games.
    Tier 7
    

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29. Rams- Bulger going down might hurt, but it might help. At least Jackson is still there.
30. Bucs- Johnson looked like a rookie against the Saints, but I think he will be a solid Pro in the future.
31. Lions- Great comeback (twice) against the Browns. They need to take it slow with Stafford’s injury.
    Tier 8
    

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32. Browns- The Browns officially have no hope and no luck. Maybe in 2012.

That will do it for the Week 12 rankings. As I said before, next week they will be back to normal.

I hope you have a Happy Thanksgiving!

I want to thank everyone that commented to me on Twitter, e-mail and the comments section about the original week 9 rankings. I have taken a long hard look at the formula that I introduced as a BETA this week, and I have made a minor tweak and I must say that the resulting rankings are even better now.

Be sure to read my original rankings, here, for my thoughts on each of the teams.

Here are the new rankings:

*Once again, tiers consist of teams that finished within 20 points of each other using my ranking formula*

Tier 1


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1. Saints
2. Colts
   Tier 2
   

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3. Broncos
4. Vikings
5. Bengals
6. Patriots
   Tier 3
   

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7. Ravens
8. Cowboys
9. Steelers
10. Falcons
11. Eagles
12. Cards
13. Giants
14. Chargers
15. Dolphins
16. Texans
17. Packers
18. Jets
    Tier 4
    

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19. Bears
20. 49ers
21. Panthers
    Tier 5
    

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22. Jaguars
23. Seahawks
24. Bills
25. Raiders
26. Titans
    Tier 6
    

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27. Browns
28. Lions
29. Chiefs
30. Redskins
31. Rams
    Tier 7
    

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32. Bucs

Two quick things to mention from last week: The New York Giants had their secondary exposed again, this time by the division rival Eagles. The Giants lost their 3rd straight game and now are sitting at 3rd in the division. They will need to fix the secondary issues before heading into this week’s game against the Chargers, if they don’t, Rivers will pick them apart. The Arizona Cardinals, who had the number 1 ranked rushing defense got torched on the ground for 270 yards by the Panthers.

I must say I think the formula is quite accurate, but some teams were ranked so close to each other that they could go either way. For this week, I want to show you the raw rankings. These are not including my opinion, I do have a few minor disagreements, which will be mentioned in the description. Without further ado, here are the ranking:

*Tiers consist of teams that finished within 20 points of each other using my ranking formula*

Tier 1

1. –Saints- I don’t think there is much question here
2. –Broncos- This is probably the one that will draw the most disagreement. I have to admit #2 is slightly high for them, and that the Colts should be #2 but the Broncos have had a great season against good competition.
3. –Colts- Immediately I can tell why the Colts got bumped to #3 despite being undefeated this season- they have had the 2nd easiest schedule in the NFL (Redskins are first). The Colts opponents are a combined 17-33 and the Colts have had 3 games end with less than a TD difference, despite Manning’s amazing season.
4. –Bengals- I don’t have a huge problem with the Bengals being ranked this high, if you look at their team they are pretty solid all around.

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Tier 2
5. –Vikings- The Vikings just missed the cut for Tier 1, they have the same problem as the Colts- their schedule has been super easy to date. They have had the 3rd easiest schedule in the NFL with their opponents record being 19-32.
6. –Falcons- The Falcons have a moderate record of 4-3, but they have played the 4th toughest schedule in the league (Opponents record 30-19). I think the Falcons are ranked slightly higher than they should be, the Patriots I believe should be ranked higher than them (there was only a 3 point difference in their grades).
7. –Steelers- I had ranked the Steelers #7 last week, so I have no problem with them remaining #7 after their BYE week.
8. –Patriots- It will be interesting to see how they play against the Dolphins this week, since they are coming of the BYE after pounding two of the worst teams in the NFL in back-to-back weeks.
9. –Ravens- The Ravens rebounded from their 3 game losing streak with a dominant win against the Broncos last week.
10. –Cowboys- The Cowboys have an explosive offense especially with Miles Austin opening up the passing game.
11. –Cards- They should be embarrassed after losing to the Panthers last week. The #1 ranked rushing defense allowed 270 yards rushing? Wow, it didn’t help that Kurt Warner did his best Delhomme impression by throwing 5 INTs.
12. –Eagles- I have a small disagreement with the Eagles at 12, I think they should flip with the Cards and Cowboys. I think the Eagles should be 10 followed by the Cowboys and then the Cards. The main killer of the Eagles was the loss to the Raiders.
13. –Dolphins- The Dolphins are a better team than their record indicates, they have just faced some bad luck to start the season. They have the toughest schedule in the NFL to date with their opponents having a combined record of 29-15 (tied for toughest with the Titans).
14. –Giants- The Giants are opposite of the Dolphins, they are not as good as their record indicates. They have been exposed the last 3 weeks and I think they will be exposed again this week. Their 5 wins include the Redskins, Bucs, Chiefs and Raiders (who have 5 combined wins).
15. –Chargers- The Chargers offense is explosive and with LT starting to run effectively, I think they are a team to watch over the 2nd half of the NFL season.
16. –Texans- The Texans are off to their best start in franchise history thanks to the play of Matt Schaub (one of the most underrated QBs in the NFL). They are trying to eclipse the 8 win mark for the first time ever and I think they will be able to do it this season.

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Tier 3
17. –Bears- They need to perform better on the road.
18. –49ers- They are able to beat the bad teams and play competitive against the good teams. I think the 49ers are a team to watch for in the 2nd half of the NFL season. With Smith at QB and Crabtree at WR, the 49ers offense has seemed to actually have some life in it. I expect Crabtree to have a big 2nd half.
19. –Jets- The Jets hopefully have practiced some special teams defense this week. I still can’t believe that Ginn was able to return two kick-offs 100+ yards for a TD in the SAME QUARTER. Their defense played well, but it has played well most of the season, and it is proven they need more than just a defense (even though they have the #1 ranked rushing team).
20. –Packers- The Packers seem a little low in the rankings, but it is because they are the king of beating up on bad teams. They beat the Browns, Rams, Lions and Bears this season, while losing to the Vikings twice and Bengals.
21. –Panthers- The win against the Cards was huge, will it be a turning point for their season?
22. –Jaguars- The Jaguars have one of the beat RBs in the league on their team (MJD), but they are not a good football team. Just look at their last 3 games: Wk 5- Shut out by Seahawks, Wk 6- Need OT to beat Rams, Wk 8- Lose to the winless Titans.
23. –Bills- Their 3-4 record is deceiving, they are not that good.
24. –Raiders- They beat the Eagles and held them without a TD, yeah I still can’t get over it.
25. –Seahawks- The Seahawks are an interesting team. They are interesting because it amazes me how they can play so well at home and so terrible on the road.

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Tier 4
26. – Titans- They have had some bad luck this season with the fact that they have had the toughest schedule (opponents are 29-15) in the NFL, but for a team that went 13-3 last season, they should have more than 1 win this season. Chris Johnson is a monster at RB and switching to Young was a great decision. They will have a tough game this week against the 49ers, who rank second in stopping the run.
27. –Browns- There really isn’t much to say about the Browns. Mangini is a terrible head coach
28. –Lions- The Lions that went 0-16 last season have not had an easy schedule to start this season (opponents are 30-21), but they missed a huge opportunity against the Rams last week. They need Calvin Johnson back on the field.
29. –Chiefs- The Larry Johnson mess is a huge distraction and this team does not need any distractions, I have a feeling this week could be a long one for them.
30. –Rams- They got a win! I think it will be their only one of the season. Steven Jackson owners must be happy that he finally got in the end-zone, despite the fact that he is tied for second in the NFL with 784 yards. St. Louis really is a one man show.
31. –Redskins- The Redskins have had the easiest schedule in the NFL to date (opponents are 16-35), yet they only have 2 wins? Their offense is terrible, and I feel bad for Jim Zorn because it wasn’t just his fault, it was poor execution by his players. Who will be fired first Zorn or Mangini? The race is on.

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Tier 5
32. –Bucs- The remaining schedule for the Bucs is:  Packers, @Dolphins, Saints, @Falcons, @Panthers, Jets, @Seahawks, @Saints, Falcons. If you see a win in there, let me know.

Tier 1

1. –Saints- The Saints are the real deal, no question in my mind. After watching the performance that they put on against the Dolphins on Sunday night, I don’t know who will be able to beat the Saints. They were down 21-3, but were able to comeback and not only win the game, but win the game by double digits. The Saints quick score ability (22 unanswered points in the 4th quarter) is remarkable. The team is full of playmakers- Brees, Colston, Shockey, Sharper, and the human-plane Reggie Bush.
2. –Colts- The Colts crushed the Rams, as they should have. They get a good defense this week against the 49ers, but the 49ers defensive weakness is the secondary and the Colts have Peyton Manning, so they should be 7-0 in the next rankings.
3. Broncos- Josh McDaniels is looking like the easy choice for Coach of the Year. The Broncos lose a pro-bowl QB and have huge issues with Brandon Marshall in the off-season, and yet they are undefeated. As I have been saying since week 1, Kyle Orton is an underrated QB.

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Tier 2
4. Patriots- The Patriots are using the easy part of the schedule to find their offensive rhythm. They have outscored opponents 94-7 over the past two weeks (both opponents were win-less).Let’s see how they play against the Colts in 2 weeks.
5. Vikings- No Favre magic last week, as the Vikings lost their first game of the season. The Steelers defense just proved to be too much for the Vikings. The Steelers were able to run a fumble back and an interception back for a TD in the 4th quarter and that was the difference in the game. Favre returns to Green Bay this week, in what will be a great match-up.
6. Steelers- The Steelers are a much better team with Polamalu playing safety. The defense is back to its dominating self and Roethlisberger is having a great season. The lack of a running game may prove to be a significant weakness as the season comes to a close, but for now the Steelers are very solid team in the NFL.
7. Packers- The Packers beat up on another bad opponent in week 7. They held the Browns to only 3 points and are coming into the match-up with the Vikings playing their best football. If they can protect Rodgers against the solid Vikings’ pass rush, they might be able to beat the Vikings.

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Tier 3
8. –Eagles- The Eagles rebounded from their terrible loss against the Raiders, by beating the Redskins on Monday Night Football. The Eagles didn’t look overly impressive in the win, but in the NFL a win is a win. It will be interesting to see how they handle the Giants this week.
9. Giants- The Giants lost two games in a row. Maybe the Giants weren’t as good as I thought they were coming into the year. They were able to beat up on bad teams early in the year, but now that they are playing some competition they look confused.
10. Bengals- The Bengals rebounded from the loss to the Texans by destroying the Bears 45-10. Cedric Benson got revenge on his former team, and Carson Palmer looked like his Heisman self connecting for 5 TDs.
11. –Ravens- Hopefully the Ravens are rested and prepared coming into their week 8 match-up with the Broncos, if they don’t show up with all aspects of their game, they will have a 4 game losing streak.
12. Chargers- The Chargers looked really good in their week 7 win against the Chiefs, granted it was the Chiefs. The Chargers have one of the most dynamic offenses in the league and if they are clicking they will be tough to beat, and it doesn’t hurt that LT is starting to play well.
13. Cowboys- The Cowboys that everyone expected finally showed up last week against the Falcons. Romo was able to protect the ball and for the second straight week, Miles Austin was able to gain over 100 yards receiving. Austin’s play seems to be the catalyst of the success of the Cowboys. They should be able to continue their role against the Seahawks in week 8.

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Tier 4
14. Cardinals- The Cards look like they are back as the favorite to win the NFC West. They traveled to the Meadowlands and beat the Giants by 7. I am still concerned about their lack of a rushing game, but they should be able to keep their winning ways against the Panthers this weekend.
15. Falcons- The Falcons had a bad game against the Cowboys in week 7, and unfortunately for them, many teams had statement games at the same time causing the Falcons to drop 9 spots in the rankings. Michael Turner will need to start rushing the ball better for the Falcons to return to contention for the NFC South title (although, it will be unattainable [Saints will win it]). Turner has 7 TDs this season, which puts him among league leaders, but he is only averaging a little over 3 yards per carry which is not good enough.
16. –Dolphins- The Dolphins played extremely well for 3 quarters against the Saints, but they fell apart when the game mattered most. The Dolphins are better than their 2-4 record indicates.
17. Jets- OK, the Jets showed up against the Raiders in week 7. They shut the Raiders out, in the 38 point rout. They lost Leon Washington in the process, but Shonn Greene filled in nicely, rushing for over 100 yards. I think the loss of Washington will hurt the team in the long run (he is out for the year). I am still not a believer in Mark Sanchez, yet.
18. 49ers- The 49ers offense was anemic once again last week, until the second half that is. The 49ers trailed the Texans 21-0 at halftime and it was looking like they would be blown out again for the second straight week, but Singletary decided to bench Shaun Hill in favor of Alex Smith. This was probably going to be Smith’s last chance to shed his draft bust label, and he did not disappoint. He threw for over 200 yards and 3 TDs in the 2nd half. He did throw a costly interception on the 49ers last drive of the game, which left the 49ers just short of pulling off the comeback win. Smith’s play was encouraging, and if they are able to finally open up a passing game, it should free up Gore in the rushing game. They will need everything to work against the Colts, if they want any chance at winning the game.
19. Texans- The Texans have a small 2 game winning streak going, but they are still way to inconsistent for me to think about ranking in the top 15 of the NFL. Matt Schaub is definitely underrated by mainstream fans, but it is not the offense that the Texans need to work on- they need some defensive consistency.

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Tier 5
20. Bears- In week 6 the Bears couldn’t capitalize in the red-zone, in week 7 they fixed that problem by not getting in the red-zone very often. The Bengals had their way with the Bears. Cutler will need to perform better on the road for the Bears to have a chance in the toughest division in the NFC.
21. –Seahawks- The Seahawks had a BYE in week 7 and have a tough game against the Cowboys in week 8.
22. –Jaguars- The Jaguars also had a BYE in week 7, and should be able to win against the Titans in week 8, but then again the Jaguars are terribly inconsistent.
23. Bills- The Bills were able to capitalize on 3 INTs by Delhomme in week 7. I am not sold on the Bills, despite their 3 wins. The Bills had 167 total yards against the Panthers and they allowed 425 total yards, the fact that they won the game 20-9 shows more of how bad the Panthers are, then how good the Bills are.
24. Panthers- Delhomme… they need a change… but they have no-one else… long season… see Bills (above)

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Tier 6
25. –Chiefs- The Chiefs played bad against the Chargers and I don’t see them winning many games this year.
26. –Raiders- They Raiders were back to being the Raiders last week. Finally, Russell was benched. He plays so uninspired, it’s just sad that he got such a large contract.
27. –Lions- Get ready Detroit, I think this week is the week for the 2nd win of the season.
28. –Redskins- The Redskins are bad, how do you outsource play calling to a guy in a booth that hasn’t even been with the team all season? Jim Zorn will be the first coach fired this year.

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Tier 7
29. –Titans- The Titans have a shot at a win this week against the Jaguars, let’s see if they were able to regroup over the BYE week. We should see some more Vince Young this week (finally).
30. –Browns- Traveling into Soldier Field the week after the Bears got embarrassed is not promising for the Browns.
31. –Bucs- The remaining schedule for the Bucs is:  BYE, Packers, @Dolphins, Saints, @Falcons, @Panthers, Jets, @Seahawks, @Saints, Falcons. If you see a win in there, let me know.
32. –Rams- The Rams will have their best chance for a win this week against the Lions, but I don’t expect them to get it, especially with Stafford and Calvin Johnson returning for the Lions.